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The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops controlled the village of Zhovte in eastern Ukraine. 2. The governor said that Russian missiles attacked Ukraine, killing three people and injuring five others. 3. Russian President Vladimir Putin: A sufficient number of Hazelnut missiles will effectively eliminate the need to use nuclear weapons. Others: 1. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. 2. According to the Tass news agency, Russia resumed passenger railway traffic with North Korea. 3. President of Ukraine: The current focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. 4. Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Indian Defense Minister. 5. The United States approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of $266.4 million. 6. Kremlin: Russia's goal in Ukraine can be achieved through special military actions or negotiations. There are still no negotiations on Ukraine. 7. Belarusian President Lukashenko: There are about 30 locations in Belarus where hazel missiles can be deployed. The response to the invasion will be immediate, including the use of nuclear weapons.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's widely implemented tariff policy may undermine the progress made on inflation and increase costs. He talked with Trump's nominee for finance minister, Besant, and discussed the broad responsibilities of the Ministry of Finance.

The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)The pharmacy chain WBA closed up 18%, the biggest one-day increase since at least 1980, and the company negotiated to sell it to a private equity firm.

The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops controlled the village of Zhovte in eastern Ukraine. 2. The governor said that Russian missiles attacked Ukraine, killing three people and injuring five others. 3. Russian President Vladimir Putin: A sufficient number of Hazelnut missiles will effectively eliminate the need to use nuclear weapons. Others: 1. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. 2. According to the Tass news agency, Russia resumed passenger railway traffic with North Korea. 3. President of Ukraine: The current focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. 4. Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Indian Defense Minister. 5. The United States approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of $266.4 million. 6. Kremlin: Russia's goal in Ukraine can be achieved through special military actions or negotiations. There are still no negotiations on Ukraine. 7. Belarusian President Lukashenko: There are about 30 locations in Belarus where hazel missiles can be deployed. The response to the invasion will be immediate, including the use of nuclear weapons.Argentina's MERVAL index closed down 1.34% to 2.199 million points.